as engineer on hydraylics and enviromental techniques, I had to made some works and presentations as pre-gratuate (diploma) and post-gratuate (master and doctora)
The climate change and global warming is a fact, but happens myriads of milleniums
But as always some exagerate,
when I did my first work as pre-gratuate, I choose to work on solar activity and the solar eras known as solar cirlcles, and the little ice age theory.
that was the time of terror, some numbers terrorizing humanity, announcing such disasters etc etc, coming from minds believing that human activity is responsible for more than 70%.
I remember I have seen once a doctora (2002-3) lecture predicting huge disasters start from 2018 AD.
that era passed infront me a fine work for solar activity through millenias, studying even old trees and especially the ones who turn in stone (απολιθομενα)
I made a work about to see about 20th century effect and especially data from the valley of Po river at Italy which was hit very hard by warming at 1970's, and at local upper and central Makedonia river Aliakmon,
with help from the School of Physicomathematicians, the department of meteorology and the school of Topography (space maps) made a work-effort to search solar activity to these specific areas,
by calculating the model we have seen that a huge 'flame tongue' from sun had strike Po river (if remember correct 1977 or 78) and sun was at a max activity this 9-11 year circle,
when I present the work, only 2 proffesors watch it. and 11 students, but next day was a discuss at department of school
after many works, personally I had a feeling that solar activity is more than 60% and human activity is about 24% and rest is nature activity (like termites)
from 70% to 24% human activity the difference is huge.
after years when CO[SUB]2 [/SUB]data and stock exchange etc establish made another work for predicting the climate and especially the precipitations at Makedonia. and part of this work had to evolve with the global warming and climate changes.
(damn the grey maths are ..... ) this time with more data and varriants on my hands the human activity was max 28%.
(btw this time I was proud for I had unexpected audience)
Anyway, models are models and tools, maybe I was wrong, maybe others were wrong, but solar activity was underestimate, (I believe in purpose for creating the CO[SUB]2 [/SUB]stock exchange) while human activity was overestimate.
Global warming, global cooling, and climate changes happens and is happening from the birth of the planet,
even eras when human did not dominate at earth or not even exist.
next strong 'warming up' solar activity will be among 2040-2060,
simply human activity will make the next 'warm' solar activity look like 'closer to hell' than ever, than it should be if only solar and nature activity should be.
our sun shine and lives under a fracture which is a mix of added cosinus circles,
and this is how humanity has to live,
only we have to do is to organise and synchorinise our (human) activities with the solar circles,
so not to live the phaenomena under harm conditions,by theory we know that chaotic and eternal phaenomena that have at least 1 trigonometrical fracture, tend to maximize it and work under it, at a normal, non accidental mode.at the end all happpen normally under this trigonometrical fractures
Planet and nature have the ability to synchronise with sun's willing, accepting and rejecting his 'life giving, and life taking' energy
only we have to do as humans is to organise our societies not to push to the killing limits.
and since human is a animal and not a tree, helps more to global warming, than global cooling.
Think, a big volcano explodes, and spread microdust on atmospheara, and the area nearby burns, but the dust cloud even warm, makes a shield to solar activity, reflecting the warming rays back to space,
so no matter the cloud temperature, for days after it will have a cooling effect at a bigger suround area.
So my opinion is not to input fear and terror to humanity,
but also help reduce and raise human activity in accordance with sun's extreme limits.
So my answer is that organisations that had subject the global warming and the climate change, made a lot of mistakes the previous decades, overestimating the human activity on climate, and I believe in purpose, so to create a CO[SUB]2 [/SUB]buraeu for stock exchange market.
Btw
Do you think that if for example a new ice age climate is to come, or a new dinosaur climate era? human activity can prevent it? or push it?
that is a good question to start creative thinking on subject.
besides after 1940 which is the starting point of modern measurements, we also had underwater and desert subterranean nuclear bomb tests.
have we consider for how many years the warming of deep ocean water may affect climate? or phenomena like el Nigno? etc etc
these is average temperature maps of planet,
this the last ice ages
and WOW, was Human responsible for that global climate temperatures also that happened in past
lets take a look 330 000 years before, was human responsible for that?
to make a joke, was Haidelbergensis? Neantherthal? or primitive Sapiens activity?
From 2040 to 2060 there is a high peak of 90 years solar activity, but we enter a new circle of milleniums of high solar activity, the second big cosinus circle as it is known, we are already at first max one.
using the trigonometrical fractures of sun warming ray waves transmission to earth from 2200 we enter high dangerous for human kind eras,
Well I think that even today, human is not able to control sun to shine to his will, maybe in future, but not today,
As for these enviromentalists who they want to put fear, and stress and terror to simple and ignorant people life,
the answer are the above time maps,
THERE IS ONLY ONE THING I AGREE WITH THESE Group of Scientists and organisations
WE CAN NOT CHANGE OUR GENES TO SURVIVE (well Neantherthal had developed genes for very cold climates)
WE CAN NOT CHANGE OUR CLIMATE TO SURVIVE ( well Sapiens manage with clothes and fire to survive hostile climates like Arctic ones)
WE CAN ONLY CHANGE OUR WAY OF LIFE TO SURVIVE (
but this will NOT stop climate change as these groups and organisations believe)