Can you estimate the Ancient Greek ancestry of Sicilians using LBA Sicilian samples? Because I have failed doing it with G25. Try throwing Etruscans and Daunians because Iron Age Campanians seem intermediate between Daunians and Campanians.
ihype02: Here are some models for me using Dodecad12b. the first model is Jovialis K8 model which uses Minoan as the major source of ancestry to capture EEF related ancestry in modern Southern Italians (which is the major ancient ancestral source of modern Italians across the board, not only Southern mainland Italians/Sicilians). Obviously, the Yamnaya captures Steppe ancestry (Fernandes et al 2020 documented Steppe ancestry entering Sicily in the Bronze age), I get another Neolithic source from Central Italy (Antonio et al 2019 paper). The Iberomaurasian captures North African/Levant related ancestry which given the Pheonician/Carthagian period, Imperial Rome and in Sicily the Saracen period is part of modern Sicilian genetics at about 4.6% on average (Sazzini et al 2016).
So as I have said, I think Jovialis K8 model has support in the genetics literature on Southern Italy (Aneli et al 2022 paper published 17 January 2022 "The Genetic Origin of Daunians and the Pan-Mediterranean Southern Italian Iron Age Context") and Raveane et al 2022 "Assessing temporal and geographic contacts across the Adriatic Sea through the analysis of genome-wide data from Southern Italy." So as you can see, Jovialis K8 model fits me quite well. Now, the 2nd two models I did the following. I replaced the Minoan source populations that Jovialis used for his K8 model with 1) All the Bronze age Sicilian samples from Fernandes et al 2020. The distance is 0.7474, which is very good but not as good as with Minoans as source population. 2) Only the LBA Sicilians from Fernandes et al 2020, the distance is now 1.3. So I would start with Jovialis K8 model and then replace the Minoan with the Bronze Age Siclian samples to see how your G25 model works regarding ancient Greek DNA in modern Sicily. I would also use other Southern Italian regions as well since all them in Jovilias's K8 model can be modeled with excellent fits using Minoans as a source population.
Cheers, hope this makes sense. PT
[TH="class: singleheader, colspan: 2, align: left"]Target: PalermoTrapani_ANCESTRY
Distance: 0.4939% / 0.49385911
[/TH]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]71.8[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Minoan[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]20.7[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Yamnaya[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]3.8[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]C_Italian_N[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Iberomaurusian[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]0.7[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]C_Italian_ChL[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]0.5[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Remedello[/TD]
[TH="class: singleheader, colspan: 2, align: left"]Target: PalermoTrapani_ANCESTRY
Distance: 0.7474% / 0.74740674
[/TH]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]38.5[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Anatolian_BA[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]19.0[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Sicily_LBA_Marcita[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]15.2[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Yamnaya[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]15.2[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Sicily_MBA_Buffa_Cave_II[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]11.7[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Sicily_EBA_lowcov_Vallone_Inferno[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]0.4[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Sicily_EBA_Contrada_Paolina_Castellucciana[/TD]
[TH="class: singleheader, colspan: 2, align: left"]Target: PalermoTrapani_ANCESTRY
Distance: 1.3025% / 1.30245948
[/TH]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]45.9[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Anatolian_BA[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]37.2[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Sicily_LBA_Marcita[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]16.5[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Yamnaya[/TD]
[TD="class: barchartmode1 nonselectable, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="class: singleleftcolumn, align: right"]0.4[/TD]
[TD="class: singlerightcolumn"]Iberomaurusian[/TD]